Why Arab turmoil could mean an orgy of bloodletting and rocketing oil prices rather than a Utopian world order

Even by the repressive standards of Middle Eastern autocrats, Colonel Gaddafi has long cut a brutally capricious figure. But while nobody who remembers the murder of WPC Yvonne Fletcher or the appalling slaughter at Lockerbie will mourn Gaddafi’s downfall, this year’s tumultuous events in North Africa could mark a shocking and seismic shift in the balance of power.

We are at a hinge moment in world history. As the Arab revolutions have shown, the old certainties are cracking apart.

People power: Libyans shout anti-Gaddafi slogans during demonstrations in the town of Derna yesterday

People power: Libyans shout anti-Gaddafi slogans during demonstrations in the town of Derna yesterday. But while many look forward to the dictator being overthrown, his demise could lead to uncertainty across the globe

And despite the naive predictions of a new liberal order, the  future might well prove a very dangerous place indeed — with potentially devastating economic repercussions for millions of  British families.

Indeed, in all the excitement at the fall of the Arab autocracies, it is hard to miss the whiff of Western hubris.

Like the arrogant neo-conservatives who thought it would be child’s play to export democracy to Iraq, many of the idealists exulting in the giddy triumphs of street politics believe history is on their side.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-1360095/Middle-East-crisis-lead-orgy-bloodletting-rocketing-oil-prices.html#ixzz1F4B08w2e

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Saturday

February 26th, 2011

Staff Reporter EducationNews.org

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